Gold Holds Near $4,010 as a Firmer Dollar Meets the Start of the Federal Reserve Meeting
Gold dipped below $4,000 overnight and recovered to about $4,010 as a firmer dollar met the start of the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting.
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Updated · Spot 4,061.30 (+43.10, +1.07%)
Next data check15:00Next 1-hour candle close--:--
Hourly decision · 5:18 PM Eastern Time
Strong Buy
- Strong Sell
- Sell
- Neutral
- Buy
- Strong Buy
4,061.30 +43.10 (+1.07%) US dollars per ounce, against the previous close
Latest 1 hour bar: 2026-10-27 16:00 Eastern Time. The signal feed for Expert Advisors and the badge at the top always use the hourly decision.
Moving averages
Strong Buy10 buy · 2 sell
Technical indicators
Strong Buy8 buy · 0 neutral · 0 sell
Momentum
Relative strength index68.7 Buy
Moving average convergence divergence13.30 Buy
Trend strength and volatility
Average directional index29.6 Buy
Average true range10.71 Less Volatility
Classic pivot points
- Support 1
- 4,059.83
- Pivot
- 4,061.57
- Resistance 1
- 4,063.13
From the previous completed hourly bar (Tue Oct 27 16:00 Eastern Time)
All timeframes at a glance
- 15 minutesStrong Buy
- 30 minutesStrong Buy
- 1 hourStrong Buy
- 5 hoursBuy
- DailyStrong Sell
- WeeklyStrong Sell
Hourly outlook
BiasCautious buy
ConfidenceLow
While price holds above about 4,044; gold closed the session near 4,061, just under the 4,066 session high and above the 100-hour averages (about 4,040 to 4,044), but Stochastic, Stochastic RSI and Williams %R are overbought and the 200-hour averages near 4,077 to 4,095 remain overhead, so chasing at the 6:00 PM reopen carries pullback risk
The hourly summary stays Strong Buy at the 5:00 PM ET session close: spot finished near 4,061, up about 43 dollars (1.1%) on the day and just under the 4,066 session high, so moving averages read Strong Buy (10 Buy, 2 Sell, with only the 200-hour averages selling) and indicators read Strong Buy (8 Buy, no Sell, 3 overbought), with MACD near 13.3, the Relative Strength Index near 68.7, CCI near 75 and ADX near 29.6 showing a firm trend whose momentum is levelling off. The 15 and 30-minute and hourly timeframes are Strong Buy, the 5-hour is Buy, and the daily and weekly remain Strong Sell. With today's session complete, the daily pivots for Wednesday are now P 4,039.7, R1 4,088.0 and S1 4,013.1. Fundamentals still lean slightly bearish: the dollar index sits near a two-week high and CME FedWatch shows roughly 73 to 82% odds of a December hike ahead of Wednesday's decision (Kitco, Reuters), while easing oil gives some relief (CNBC, FXStreet). Trading resumes at 6:00 PM ET; holding above 4,044 keeps a break of 4,066 and the 200-hour exponential average near 4,077 in view, while the daily downtrend means rallies into the decision can fade.
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- Targets
- Up: about 4,066.3 (today's high), 4,076.9 (200-hour exponential average), 4,088.0 (Wednesday's daily R1), 4,095.3 (200-hour simple average), then 4,114.6 (daily R2). Down: about 4,058.3 to 4,059.8 (hourly S1 and S2), 4,040.3 to 4,044.4 (100-hour averages), 4,039.7 (Wednesday's daily pivot), 4,030.3 (previous day high), then 4,013.1 (daily S1).
- Invalidation
- An hourly close back below about 4,044 (100-hour exponential average) would warn the rally is failing and put the 4,039.7 daily pivot and 4,030 back in play; a close above 4,066 would open the 200-hour exponential average near 4,077 and daily R1 near 4,088.
- Higher timeframes
- The 15-minute, 30-minute and hourly timeframes read Strong Buy, the 5-hour reads Buy, and the daily and weekly read Strong Sell; price is above the 100-hour averages but below the 200-hour averages and every daily moving average.
- Event risk
- Market closed 5:00 to 6:00 PM ET for the daily break. The Fed meeting runs today and Wednesday; decision Wednesday 2:00 PM ET (press conference 2:30 PM), then Thursday 8:30 AM ET growth and Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation.
This is analysis, not financial advice.
Nearest levels
- Resistance
- 4,066.30 1-hour swing high Tue 13:00
- Support
- 4,039.70 Daily classic pivot P
- Invalidation
- 4,044.00
- Price data
- Spot only (no bid or ask), data: gold-api.com
For your Expert Advisor
The same reading is published every hour as a tiny file your MetaTrader 4 Expert Advisor can download with WebRequest.
STRONG_BUY|2|4061.30|2026-10-27T21:18:55Z|2026-10-27T22:28:55Z|4039.70|4066.30|4044.00|0|1Latest gold news and analysis
All Gold NewsGold Climbs Back Above $4,000 as Oil Cools, With the Federal Reserve Up Next
Gold recovered to about $4,020 after Friday's three-month low as cheaper oil eased inflation fears. The Federal Reserve decides on Wednesday.
Recent hourly decisions
| Time (Eastern) | Hourly | Moving averages | Indicators (buy/neutral/sell) | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/27 17:18 | Strong Buy | Strong Buy (10/2) | Strong Buy (8/0/0) | 4,061.30 |
| 10/27 16:20 | Strong Buy | Strong Buy (10/2) | Strong Buy (8/0/0) | 4,060.90 |
| 10/27 15:16 | Strong Buy | Strong Buy (10/2) | Strong Buy (8/0/0) | 4,061.80 |
| 10/27 14:15 | Strong Buy | Strong Buy (9/3) | Strong Buy (8/0/0) | 4,058.11 |
| 10/27 13:15 | Strong Buy | Strong Buy (10/2) | Strong Buy (8/0/0) | 4,059.82 |
| 10/27 12:23 | Strong Buy | Strong Buy (10/2) | Strong Buy (8/0/0) | 4,058.59 |
How this dashboard reads the gold chart
Every hour the dashboard rebuilds the gold chart on six timeframes, from 15 minutes to weekly, and asks the same questions a disciplined chartist would. Is price above or below its simple and exponential averages of 5, 10, 20, 50, 100 and 200 bars? Are momentum gauges such as the Relative Strength Index, the stochastic oscillator and the commodity channel index rising, falling or stretched? Each answer is a vote. When buy votes clearly outnumber sell votes the group reads Buy, and when they lead by two to one or more it reads Strong Buy, with the mirror image for selling.
The hourly reading is what the signal feed publishes, but it is never shown alone. Higher timeframes, the dollar, Treasury yields, central bank expectations, fund flows and positioning are summarised on the fundamentals and sentiment page, and scheduled releases on the economic calendar. A short-term buy against a falling daily trend is labelled counter-trend for exactly that reason.
Frequently asked questions
What is the hourly gold signal?
It is a summary of twelve moving averages and twelve technical indicators on the one-hour gold chart (XAUUSD). Each one votes buy, sell or neutral, and the votes are combined into one of five readings: Strong Buy, Buy, Neutral, Sell or Strong Sell. It describes the chart; it is not a trade recommendation.
How often is it updated?
Every hour on weekdays from 3 AM to 5 PM Eastern Time, covering the London and New York sessions. There is no update overnight or on weekends, so the last reading stays on the page. Each reading carries a time stamp and an expiry about 70 minutes later, so software can tell when a reading is out of date.
Can my MetaTrader 4 Expert Advisor read the signal?
Yes. The signal is published as small files (signal.txt, signal.json and signal.csv) that an Expert Advisor can download with the WebRequest function. The signal feed page explains the format and how to allow the web address under Tools, Options, Expert Advisors.
Why is the price slightly different from my broker?
The readings are calculated from minute-level spot gold data supplied by gold-api.com, which runs about 1 to 2 minutes behind real time, and the technical reading itself is refreshed hourly. We publish one spot price, not a bid and ask. Brokers quote their own prices and spreads, so levels can differ by a few dollars.
Does a Strong Buy mean gold will go up?
No. A Strong Buy only means that most hourly averages and indicators currently point up. Short-term readings flip often, can disagree with the daily and weekly trend, and can be overridden by news such as a Federal Reserve decision.
Is this financial advice?
No. The site is general technical analysis for education and research. It does not know your finances or goals, and trading gold on margin carries a high risk of loss.
XAUUSD · Updated hourly, weekdays 3 AM to 5 PM Eastern